Smart investing starts with good data. Stoxcraft scores are analytical tools, not buy or sell recommendations. This article is for informational purposes only. Make sure any investment decision fits your own situation - and when in doubt, talk to a financial advisor.

Performance Score: 8.7 / 10

Health Score: 8.0 / 10

Risk Score: 3.4 / 10 (higher = more risk)

TrendMeter: Surging ▲▲▲

BuyMeter: Buy

Overall Rating: ★★★★★ (5 stars)


AAPL
Low-poly 3D Apple (AAPL) stock icon with a stylized apple, symbolizing consumer tech and devices.
339.96
-0.04%
8.0
8.7
3.4
Sell
Buy
Apple Inc.
ASML
Low-poly 3D ASML (ASML) stock icon with a stylized microchip, symbolizing technology and software.
1,552.14
-1.95%
6.3
Sell
Buy
ASML Holding N.V.
FFIV
F5, Inc.
399.42
-1.00%
4.8
Sell
Buy
F5, Inc.
NVDA
Low-poly 3D NVIDIA (NVDA) stock icon with a stylized microchip, symbolizing semiconductors and hardware.
192.61
-2.23%
9.2
7.4
6.2
Sell
Buy
NVIDIA Corporation
TSM
Low-poly 3D TSMC (TSM) stock icon with a stylized microchip, symbolizing technology and software.
377.79
-3.70%
9.5
8.3
5.2
Sell
Buy
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited


$5 trillion. Apple (AAPL) touched it on Tuesday. Only one other company has ever been there.


It's also one of just four Technology stocks in the Stoxcraft universe rated 5 stars. Strong fundamentals, years of outperformance and unusually low volatility all feed that rating. Earnings land Thursday.


Apple's $5 trillion moment in numbers


Apple touched $342.89 on Tuesday. That briefly lifted its market capitalization to $5.036 trillion.


Nvidia (NVDA) got there in October 2025. Apple took under a year to climb from $4 trillion to $5 trillion. Few companies have ever moved that fast.


It isn't official yet. Apple has to close above $340.43 to formally cross the line. Shares last traded at $340.08, up 0.94% and 0.8% off the all-time high.


The driver is the strange part. Rivals poured cash into AI infrastructure. Apple mostly sat that race out, and investors spent the year rewarding the restraint.


The stock is up roughly 25%.


What Thursday's Q3 report has to prove


Apple reports fiscal Q3 after the close on Thursday, July 30. The bar has moved since April.


Trailing revenue is $416.16B on net income of $112.01B. Net profit margin sits at 27.15%. Watch that number.


It carries more risk than anything else in the report. The AI-driven memory and storage shortage has already pushed Mac and iPad prices higher. iPhone pricing has held, for now.


A leadership handover runs underneath all of this. Tim Cook passes the CEO role to John Ternus on September 1. September-quarter guidance will move the stock more than the headline beat.


How Apple ranks inside the Stoxcraft universe


Three core scores drive the overall rating, and you can see how they are built in full. They don't tell the same story.


The cash engine behind Apple's fundamental strength


Apple's Health Score of 8.0 ranks #1 in its industry. The next best consumer electronics name scores 4.5. Not a close race.


Cash is what drives the reading. Apple generated $111.48B in operating cash flow over the trailing year. Free cash flow per share sits at $8.78.


One number keeps the score off a perfect 10. The current ratio of 0.89 means short-term obligations slightly exceed short-term assets.


At most companies that's a warning sign. At Apple it reflects how management chooses to hold cash.


Where Apple's returns rank against tech peers and the S&P 500


Apple's Performance Score of 8.7 also ranks #1 in its industry. Across the broader Technology sector it sits around #29.



The 12-month return of 58.9% is doing the heavy lifting. The S&P 500 returned roughly 16.5% over the same stretch. Apple beat it by more than three times.


Stretch the window and the edge shrinks. Apple is up 134.6% over five years. The index compounded at a broadly similar pace across that period.


Most of this score comes from the past twelve months.


Why Apple's downside risk sits below most of its peers


Apple's Risk Score is 3.4, and a higher number here means more risk. That reading is the second lowest in consumer electronics.


Max drawdown over the past 12 months was 5.24%. The typical stock in the universe fell much further. A beta of 1.10 means Apple moves roughly in line with the market.


For a stock that gained 58.9% in a year, that combination is rare. Most names delivering those returns swing far harder in both directions.


AAPL's trend and entry signal before earnings


Every short-term technical signal is pointing up. The stock trades 0.8% below its 52-week high after a 19.8% gain in a single month.


There's a catch. RSI sits at 68.9, close to overbought territory. Readings above 70 often precede a pause.


The entry signal reads Buy, but it leans on quality rather than timing. The average analyst price target is $340.68 against a share price of $340.08.


Consensus upside has basically run out.


Where AAPL sits against the Technology sector


Only four Technology stocks in the Stoxcraft universe hold a 5-star rating. Apple shares that group with TSMC (TSM), ASML Holding (ASML) and F5 (FFIV).


That context cuts both ways. Roughly 30 sector peers post a higher Health Score. On fundamentals alone, Apple isn't the strongest tech name here.


What it wins on is balance across all three core dimensions. That's the same lens behind our look at the best stocks in every sector.



Why Apple reads as a quality compounder rather than a momentum play


Four score patterns keep showing up in the Stoxcraft data. Apple lands cleanly in the quality compounder bucket. High Health Score, strong Performance Score, low Risk Score.


That mix usually means the gains arrived without violent swings. The 5.24% max drawdown backs it up.


Momentum plays look different. They pair big returns with an elevated Risk Score and thinner fundamentals. Think tank build, not glass cannon.


Thursday's report will settle the $5 trillion question for Apple


Apple only regained its 5-star rating on July 3. Through June it flipped between 4 and 5 stars repeatedly. This rating is 26 days old.


Three things to watch Thursday. Net profit margin, September-quarter guidance, and any comment on memory costs.


Margin compression would show up in the fundamentals first. A weak guide would pressure the trend reading. Neither outcome looks priced in at $340.


You can track how the rating moves afterward in the Stoxcraft Screener.

Key Facts

  1. Apple hit $5.036T market value at Tuesday's session high.
  2. Fiscal Q3 earnings land after the close on Thursday, July 30.
  3. Shares gained 58.9% in 12 months versus 16.5% for the S&P 500.
  4. Max drawdown over the past year was only 5.24%.

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Patrick Janisch
Patrick Janisch
Co-Founder

What does it mean?

positive
Positive Impact
  • Record Financials: Record services revenue and a significant EPS increase are signs of strong financial health, usually boosting investor confidence and potentially stock prices.
  • Growth in Active Devices: Over 2.2 billion active devices enhance Apple's ecosystem, promising more revenue from services and sales, thus attracting investors.
  • Shareholder Returns: Dividends and buybacks signal management's confidence in Apple's profitability, positively affecting stock prices.
positive
Negative Impact
  • Record Financials: Record services revenue and a significant EPS increase are signs of strong financial health, usually boosting investor confidence and potentially stock prices.
  • Growth in Active Devices: Over 2.2 billion active devices enhance Apple's ecosystem, promising more revenue from services and sales, thus attracting investors.
  • Shareholder Returns: Dividends and buybacks signal management's confidence in Apple's profitability, positively affecting stock prices.
Curious about how the latest news affects your investments? We break down the key points, highlighting the good and the bad, so you can make smart moves.
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