Overconfidence & Regret

Why confidence feels right until it doesn’t

You make a smart trade. It works. You feel unstoppable.

You lose big. You freeze or try to win it back fast.

Both feel like opposite moments, but they’re just two sides of the same glitch.

Overconfidence and regret.

Overconfidence hits when things go well. Suddenly you’re sure you know what you’re doing.

You stop double-checking. You ignore risk. You get tunnel vision.

One win feels like a pattern, and that feeling is addictive.

Regret shows up after a loss. Now you hesitate, question every decision, or worse, try to force a comeback. Your long-term plan gets sidelined by short-term emotion.

The problem is this: both states feel completely justified in the moment.

Your brain thinks it’s making smart moves. But in reality, it’s reacting.

This skill helps you recognize when your ego is behind the wheel. Because confidence isn’t the problem.

It’s untested, emotional confidence that turns wins into risks and losses into chaos.

Here’s how to stay grounded, even when your portfolio makes you feel like a genius or a failure.